Monday, November 11, 2019

Notes on Two Systems - first part of Thinking, Fast and Slow

Notes on first part of Thinking, Fast and Slow (Two Systems)

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The characters of the story

  • Two modes of thinking: System 1 (Fast thinking / automatic system) and System 2 (Slow thinking / effortful system). These terms were originally proposed by psychologists Stanovich & West
    • System 1: Operates automatically and fast, with no or little effort, no sense of voluntary control
    • System 2: Conscious, explicit, effortful thinking, concentration.
  • System 2 has some ability to change the way System 1 works.
  • System 2 can influence where the attention is allocated (see e.g. "The invisible Gorilla")
  • System 1 works automatically, System 2 is usually in a comfortable low-effort mode
  • System 1 can "call System 2" when e.g. a question arises for which System 1 doesn't offer an answer
  • Illusions (both visual and cognitive)
    • e.g. Müller-Lyer illusion
    • System 2 can choose to believe that the lines are of equal length but it can't (at least without lots of training) prevent System 1 from seeing the lines to be of different length.
  • NOTE: System 1 and System 2 are fictious characters

Attention and effort

  • System 2's operations are effortful.
  • as a not: Size of the pupils indicate mental effort
  • If System 2 is under load, attention to other tasks (also of System 1) is reduced.
    • "... people, when engaged in a mental sprint, may become effectively blind" (e.g. "The invisible Gorilla")
  • Switching from one task to another is effortful.
  • Time pressure is another driver of effort

The lazy controller

  • For walking, there is usually "a natural speed" with which no strain or "need to push" is experienced
    • Also System 2 has a "natural speed"
  • System 2 follows "the law of least effort"
  • Maintaining a coherent train of thoughts requires discipline
  • Note: "flow" (studied by Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi)
    • People describe flow as "a state of effortless concentration so deep that they lose their sense of time, of themselves, of their problems"
  • A well-established proposition: Both self-control and cognitive work are forms of mental work (by System 2)
    • They both draw at least partly on a shared pool of mental energy (studied by Roy Baumeister)
  • Ego depletion
    • Effort of will or self-control is tiring.
    • If you have had to force yourself to do something, you are less willing or less able to exert self-control when the next challenge comes.
    • Study: Tired and/or hungry judges tend to fall back on easier solutions.
  • One of the main functions of System 2 is to monitor and control thoughts and actions "suggested" by System 1.
  • Recurrent theme of the book: Many people are overconfident, prone to place too much faith on their intuitions. (cognitive effort with System 2 is at least mildly unpleasant)
  • Stanovich & West have studied: What makes some people more susceptible than others to biases of judgement?
    • Stanovich draws a sharp distinction between two parts of System 2:
      • "algorithmic mind" (slow thinking and demanding computation) and "rational mind" ("engaged", more skeptical to their intuitions)
      • rationality should be distinguished from intelligence

The associative machine

  • System 1 does associations automatically - thoughts, memories, even physical reactions
  • Priming effect
    • Example study: exposure to a word causes immediate and measurable changes in the ease with which many related words can be evoked.
    • E.g. primed with "EAT", SO_P becomes more easily SOUP but primed with "WASH", SO_P becomes more easily SOAP
    • Priming is not restricted to words
    • Example, Florida effect
      • Priming with words related to aging caused subjects to walk slower
  • Priming is reciprocal (works in both ways), some examples:
    • Walking fast primed for different things/words than walking slow
    • Another examples of reciprocal link: Being amused makes you smile <-> Smiling makes you be more amused
    • Nodding up-down vs. shaking head side-to-side has effect on acceptance/rejection of a message
  • Primes quide out judgments and choices quite much
    • Example study of voting patterns for school funding - whether the voting station was in school or just near had effect on the results
    • Another example study of money priming individualism
    • "Lady MacBeth effect"
    • System 2 believes that it is in charge but System 1 has also effect without us even noticing.
  • System 1 provides impressions that often turn into your beliefs, and is the source of the impulses that often become your choices and your actions.

Cognitive ease

  • Cognitive ease / strain
  • Causes (of cognitive ease) for example: Related experience, clear display, primed idea, good mood
  • Consequences: Feels familiar, feels true, feels good, feels effortless
  • Cognitive ease has multiple causes and they have quite interchangeable effects - it is difficult to tease them apart
  • Illusions of remembering (example of made-up celebrity names)
    • E.g. For a new word, making it easier to see/read -> it will be more likely to have the quality of pastness.
  • Illusions of truth
    • Frequent repetition makes people to believe falsehoods, familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.
  • How to make a persuasive message
    • Anything you can do to reduce cognitive strain helps: Legibility, simple language, memorable message (rhyming), name easy to pronounce
  • Strain and effort:
    • Reciprocity: Cognitive strain will activate System 1.
    • Study with Shane Frederick's Cognitive Reflection Test: Performance was better with bad font. (Difficulty to read activates System 2)
  • The pleasure of cognitive ease
    • Mind at ease puts a smile on the face
    • Mere exposure effect
  • Ease, mood and intuition
    • Intuition works better when we are on a good mood

Norms, surprises, and causes

  • The main function of System 1 is to maintain and update a model of your personal world, which represents what is normal in it.
  • A capacity for surprises is an essential aspect of our mental life.
  • Norm theory
  • Our mind is eager to see causes and intentions.

A machine for jumping to conclusions

  • System 1 does choices and conclusions automatically and does not keep track of alternatives, or even of the fact that there were alternatives.
  • Daniel Gilbert: For a statement, initial attempt to believe is an automatic operation of System 1. Gilber sees unbelieving as an operation of System 2.
  • Confirmation bias
    • When asked "Is Sam friendly?" different instances of Sam's behaviour will come to mind than would if asked "Is Sam unfriendly"
    • Positive test strategy
  • Halo effect
    • The tendency to like (or dislike) everything about a person - including things you have not observed.
    • The sequence in which we observe characteristics of a person matters how we view that person.
  • To derive the most useful information from multiple sources of evidence, one should try to make these sources independent of each other. (decorrelate error)
  • What you see is all there is (WYSIATI)
    • Associative memory represents only activated ideas.
    • Intuitive thinking is often jumping to conclusions on the basis of limited evidence.

How judgments happen

  • System 2 receives or generates questions - in either case it directs attention and searches memory to find answers
  • System 1 continuously monitors what is going inside and outside the mind and continuously generates "basic assessments" of various aspects of the situation.
    • How things are? Is there a thread or opportunity? ...
    • Example of basic assessment - discriminate friend from a woe at a glance.
    • E.g. Todorov's voting study
  • Sets and prototypes - System 1 deals well with averages but poorly with sums.
  • Intensity matching - System 1's scale of intensity allows matching across diverse dimensions.
    • Example: "Julie read fluently when she was 4 years old." -> "How tall is a man who is as tall as Julie was precocious?"
  • Mental shotgun
    • System 1 carries many computations at any one time + automatically. Other computations are voluntary.
    • The control over intended computations is far from precise - we often compute much more than we need. (This is called mental shotgun)

Answering an easier question.

  • Normally we have intuitive feelings and opinions about almost everything that comes onto our way.
  • Question substitution:
    • The target question is the assessment we intend to produce.
    • The heuristic questions are the simpler questions we answer instead.
  • The mental shotgun makes it easy to generate quick answers to difficult questions without imposing much hard work on the lazy System 2.
  • Intensity matching helps to fit the answers to the original questions
  • Affect heuristics - in which people let their likes and dislikes to determine their view of the world (Paul Slovic)

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